Walid Phares, a Middle East expert and former advisor to the Trump administration, recently discussed the ongoing protests in Iran and the potential impact of various factors on the situation. In an interview with Fox News, Phares outlined the demands of the Iranian protesters, possible outcomes, and the actions taken by the US government in response to the crisis.
The protests in Iran erupted in November 2019 after the government announced a sudden increase in fuel prices. The Iranian people, already struggling with a deteriorating economy, took to the streets in large numbers to express their frustration and demand change. Phares emphasized that the protesters have four main demands: an end to corruption and mismanagement, an improvement in living conditions, freedom of speech and assembly, and a change in the political system.
Regarding the possible outcomes of the protests, Phares stated that there are three potential scenarios. The first is a crackdown by the Iranian regime, which has a history of suppressing dissent through violence and arrests. The second is a negotiation between the government and the protesters, which could lead to some changes in policies and an easing of tensions. And the third is a collapse of the regime, which Phares believes is unlikely in the short term but could be possible in the long term if the protests continue.
In response to the situation, the Trump administration has imposed a 25 percent tariff on Iran-related trade, which Phares believes is a significant move. He explained that this tariff would put pressure on the Iranian government, which heavily relies on its oil exports, and could potentially weaken its ability to suppress the protests. Phares also praised the administration’s decision to impose sanctions on Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and other top officials, saying it sends a strong message to the regime.
Another factor that has contributed to the ongoing crisis in Iran is the regime’s communication blackout. The government has blocked internet access in an attempt to prevent the spread of information and suppress the protests. However, Phares believes that this strategy will ultimately backfire and further fuel the protests. He also mentioned the potential use of Starlink, a satellite internet service by SpaceX, as a way to bypass the regime’s censorship and provide internet access to the Iranian people.
Phares concluded the interview by expressing his support for the Iranian people and their struggle for freedom and democracy. He stated that the international community, especially the United States, should continue to stand with the protesters and put pressure on the Iranian regime to address their demands. He also urged the Iranian government to listen to the voices of its people and work towards a peaceful resolution of the crisis.
In conclusion, Walid Phares provided valuable insights into the demands of Iranian protesters, potential outcomes, and the actions taken by the Trump administration in response to the ongoing crisis. The situation in Iran is complex and volatile, but with the support of the international community and the determination of the Iranian people, there is hope for a better future.